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An S-Shaped Trail to Wall Street, Table of Contents

Survival of the Fittest Reigns at the Stock Market

 

PREFACE

INTRODUCTION

1. THE S-SHAPED ADVENTURE

What do computers and rabbits have in common?

S-Curves and Substitutions

Sustained Growth

Invariants

The Nonsense about Safe Driving

Do All Animals Die at the Same Age?

2. COMPETITION, ECOSYSTEMS, AND THE STOCK MARKET

Setting the Scene

Two Kinds of Competition

A Vocabulary that Yields Insights

Stock-Market Attention

Stock-Market Value

Natural Selection

Noisy Stocks

The Attention Factor

Harmony in Action

Market Shares

Why Companies Split Their Stocks

Recapitulation

3. NYSEíS MOST IMPORTANT SPECIES: THE DOW JONES

Stock-Market Invariants

How to Detect Stock-Market Bubbles and Anticipate When They May Burst

What Really Grows at the Stock Market?

Predicting the Dow

Forecasting Each One of the 30 Industrials

4. SEASONS OF GROWTH AND SEASONS OF CHAOS

The Four Seasons of a Growth Cycle

Like Shakespearean Plays

Alternating Between Growth and Chaos

Large Time-Frame Volume Curves for the NYSE

Correlation between the Exchange Volumes and the DJIA

Where Are You on the Curve?

A Second Lease on Life

5. THE COMPETITION ARENA

The Halloween Indicator Revisited

The 30 Industrials Come of Age

How Much Does Winning on the Stock-Market Floor Help the Investor?

An Intricate Landscape

Isometrics

The "Ineffective" Stock Split

Winners and Losers

The 30 Industrials on October 30, 1998

In Summary

6. BEYOND THE S-CURVE

More than One Species in the Niche

Attackerís Advantage, Defenderís Counterattack

Competition Management

Stock, Bonds, Cash, Real Estate

Stocks Exchange vs. Bonds Exchange

CONCLUSION

APPENDIX A. VALUE AND VOLUME: WEIGHTS AND PROBABILITIES

APPENDIX B. S-CURVES: MATHEMATICAL FORMULATIONS

NOTES AND SOURCES

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

INDEX

 
 
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