a Conquering Uncertainty, Table of Contents
 
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Conquering Uncertainty, Table of Contents

Preface

Acknowledgments

PROLOGUE

Academic Too Often Means Useless

Growth Dynamics

CHAPTER ONE. THE S-SHAPED ADVENTURE

What Do Computers and Rabbits Have in Common?

Just-in-Time Innovation

CHAPTER TWO. STRUCTURING AN ENTERPRISE ACCORDING TO ITS SEASON

The Four Seasons of A Business Cycle

Second Thoughts about Excellence

Winter

Spring

Summer

Fall

Like Shakespearean Plays

The BCG Matrix Revisited

Where Are You on the Curve?

Gedanken Experiments

Leonardo da Vinci Was ahead of the Aristocrats

CHAPTER THREE. GROWTH FROM CHAOS AND CHAOS FROM GROWTH

The Beginning of Chaos

A Large-Scale Historical Example

In Politics as in Business

The Collapse of the Communist Empire

The Rise and Fall of A Computer Giant

Revolutions and Re-Evolutions

If Summer Is Here, Can Fall Be Far Behind?

Where on the Curve Are Your Clients?

Success in All Seasons

The Philosopher’s Stone

Examples

CHAPTER FOUR. THE BIG PICTURE

The Evolution of the Evolution

Zooming in and out

Examples from Industry

Showing off at the Dock

When Do We Stop Being Children?

The End of the Information-Technology Industry

No More Downsizing in Computers

Personal Computers Are Not Getting Cheaper

CHAPTE FIVE. INSTINCT VERSUS RATIONALE

Assess, Measure, and Monitor Strategic Performance

Could You Take Aim at an Apple on Your Son’s Head?

Learning from Experience in Positioning New Computer Products

The Industry Learning Curve

Life Cycles of Services

CHAPTER SIX. GENETIC RE-ENGINEERING OF CORPORATIONS

More than One Species in the Same Niche

Attacker’s Advantage, Defender’s Counterattack

Competition Management

Finding the Magic Advertising Message

Who Is Afraid of the Big Bad Wolf?

CHAPTER SEVEN. MAKE THE FUTURE WHAT IT USED TO BE

Invariants

The Nonsense about Safe Driving

Humans Versus Machines

Decision Non-Makers

Did Mozart Die of Old Age?

A Second Lease on Life

CHAPTER EIGHT. MANAGING THE ENTERPRISE AFTER YEAR 2000

EPILOGUE

APPENDIX A. S-CURVES: MATHEMATICAL FORMULATIONS

One Species Only

Many Competitors in One Niche

APPENDIX B. ECONOMIES OF SCALE AND PRICE ELASTICITY

Why the Industrial Revolution Succeeded

NOTES AND SOURCES

BIBLIOGRAPHY

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

INDEX

 
 
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